← Fraywire Economics

Personal Income PI

Billions of Dollars • Monthly • Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate
Source: FRED | Last updated: 2025-09-26 07:44:07-05 | Range: 1959-01-01 → 2025-08-01

Loading…
Trend
Momentum

Trend Heat Strip & Seasonality

YoY Heat Strip

≤ −5% Decline > +5% Growth

Seasonality (Average by Month)

What am I looking at?

What it shows: the average level of the series for each calendar month (Jan…Dec) across the full history.

  • Computation: for each month m, take the mean of all observations whose calendar month = m (all years equally weighted).
  • Interpretation:
    • Not seasonally adjusted (NSA): clear recurring peaks/troughs by month.
    • Seasonally adjusted (SA): should be fairly flat (seasonality already removed).
  • Caveats: uses raw levels, so long-run trend can dominate; best for monthly series. For a relative view, consider a seasonal index (month_mean ÷ overall_mean − 1) or limit to the last N years.

Distribution & Extremes

Histogram of Monthly Changes

Context

Recent Prints

DateValueMoMYoY

Release

Personal Income and Outlays
See full release page
Typical schedule and next expected date may vary; check the release page for official timing.

What this measures & how to read it

BEA Account Code: A065RC
Personal income is the income that persons receive in return for their provision of labor, land, and capital used in current production and the net current transfer payments that they receive from business and from government.25 Personal income is equal to national income minus corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, contributions for government social insurance, net interest and miscellaneous payments on assets, business current transfer payments (net), current surplus of government enterprises, and wage accruals less disbursements, plus personal income receipts on assets and personal current transfer receipts.
A Guide to the National Income and Product Accounts of the United States (NIPA) - (http://www.bea.gov/national/pdf/nipaguid.pdf)

Tip: focus on multi-month trends to reduce noise from seasonality, one-off shocks, and revisions.